Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.7% | 99.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 3.8% | 96.2% | +17.8 | ✗ (20.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: BYU Cougars -3 (49-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Keller | 38 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| N. Welch | 38 | 6-12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| M. McCraw | 37 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| A. Hood | 31 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 30 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Nwaelele | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| C. Buchanan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Holum | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| T. Anderson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hall | 38 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| K. Young | 32 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| J. Balderson | 29 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Ainge | 29 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | - |
| G. Meads | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Rose | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Jensen | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Dawes | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Burgess | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter