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2005-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 95.0% 5.0% -
Bradley-Terry 5.9% 94.1% -
Margin 45.2% 54.8% +1.1 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 66.0% 34.0% -
Efficiency 96.4% 3.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 92.3% 7.7% -
Log Adjusted 92.4% 7.6% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers -9 (83-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Frye * 32 5-11 0-1 10-12 7 1 1 1 2 20 17 -
S. Stoudamire * 29 9-15 3-5 4-4 3 1 1 0 2 25 13 -
H. Adams * 27 6-10 0-0 0-1 6 6 0 0 0 12 14 -
M. Shakur * 21 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 2 2 -
I. Radenovic * 19 3-5 0-0 4-4 3 1 0 1 2 10 8 -
J. McClellan 22 3-4 0-1 2-2 4 1 1 1 2 8 9 -
K. Walters 20 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
C. Rodgers 20 2-4 1-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 7 6 -
J. Verdejo 8 2-8 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 -1 -
D. Dillon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Fox 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lucas * 37 6-8 0-0 5-6 6 1 1 1 3 17 15 -
C. Stephens * 36 6-13 2-5 3-3 4 0 1 0 1 17 8 -
J.S. Nash * 33 2-8 1-3 3-4 0 6 1 0 1 8 6 -
L. Hurd * 22 1-2 0-0 0-2 4 6 1 0 0 2 11 -
N. Dewitz * 20 4-7 2-3 4-6 2 2 0 0 2 14 9 -
J. Fontenet 21 4-6 2-2 6-7 0 3 2 0 0 16 15 -
S. Cuic 18 3-4 1-2 2-4 1 0 0 0 3 9 3 -
A. Weathers 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
K. Jeffers 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
V. Remmers 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter