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2005-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 11.6% 88.4% -
Bradley-Terry 18.6% 81.4% -
Margin 9.4% 90.6% +12.5 (17.5 off)
Pythagorean 25.2% 74.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.4% 97.6% -
Log Adjusted 2.3% 97.7% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays -5 (77-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lorenzo Gordon 42 7-16 0-0 5-7 11 0 0 0 1 19 13 -
Vince Greene 42 1-5 0-3 8-8 4 5 0 0 2 10 12 -
T. Guidry 35 11-20 3-7 5-6 8 2 1 0 3 30 18 -
G. Alexander 35 1-2 1-2 1-2 3 3 1 0 1 4 8 -
G. Dilligard 28 4-5 0-0 0-1 5 1 1 0 1 8 9 -
N. Plank 25 4-6 1-2 0-0 5 1 2 0 3 9 8 -
N. Onyeuku 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Carlwell 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. McKinney 41 4-6 3-5 1-3 3 5 0 0 2 12 12 -
N. Funk 38 11-20 3-8 1-1 6 2 0 0 2 26 12 -
K. Miliner 29 5-12 3-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 13 4 -
J. Day 29 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 2 6 6 -
J. Mathies 20 2-8 1-3 2-2 2 4 0 0 2 7 3 -
P. Hibma 19 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
J. Motz 17 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 6 7 -
D. Watts 16 0-5 0-3 0-0 4 1 3 0 1 0 2 -
A. Tolliver 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 2 3 -
D. Howard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter