Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.5% | 75.5% | +6.2 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +20 (88-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Feuerbach | 32 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 3-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Hill | 31 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| S. Sir | 30 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Landry | 26 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| K. Golob | 21 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| S. Garnett | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| R. Boykin Jr. | 18 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| R. Van Patten | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Lyon | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Meynen | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Miller | 32 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| L. Ball | 31 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| J. Jefferson | 28 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 19 | - |
| M. Moss | 19 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| C. Durr | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Beye | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| R. Holmes | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Durham | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D. Woodall | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Pratt | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter