Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.3% | 36.7% | -3.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -14 (55-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Anderson * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| C. Hill * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Ager * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| S. Brown * | 20 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| P. Davis * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Torbert | 18 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Naymick | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| M. Trannon | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Tim Bograkos | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Neitzel | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Rowley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Grier * | 38 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| A. Robinson * | 36 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Brent Lawson * | 31 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Coleman * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Tollackson * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Hagen | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| R. Tucker | 26 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Stamper | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter