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2005-01-22

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 20.1% 79.9% -
Bradley-Terry 22.1% 77.9% -
Margin 13.2% 86.8% +10.4 (20.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% -
Log Adjusted 18.6% 81.4% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +31 (89-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hudson * 38 5-14 0-5 1-1 5 2 0 1 2 11 3 -
B. Bass * 35 4-9 1-1 5-7 10 1 0 1 1 14 16 -
D. Mitchell * 35 4-14 2-9 0-0 4 4 0 0 5 10 -1 -
G. Davis * 30 1-5 0-0 7-10 12 0 1 2 5 9 14 -
B. Balla * 26 2-8 1-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 3 5 -1 -
X. Whipple 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Neltner 13 2-3 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
D. Lazare 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Wolfert 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kennedy * 27 7-12 2-6 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 16 9 -
C. Hayes * 25 3-6 0-0 4-5 5 2 1 0 2 10 10 -
P. Sparks * 25 5-7 5-7 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 15 12 -
R. Rondo * 21 3-9 0-1 1-2 4 4 2 0 1 7 7 -
R. Morris * 18 2-4 0-0 4-6 2 1 2 1 0 8 10 -
M. Adetula 19 4-8 0-0 1-1 6 1 0 4 1 9 11 -
B. Perry 16 3-5 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 6 8 -
R. Bradley 16 3-6 2-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 10 6 -
R. Moss 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Crawford 9 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 5 5 -
S. Thomas 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
B. Stockton 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Carrier 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. LeMaster 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Obrzut 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter