Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.3% | 36.7% | -3.0 | ✓ (29.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -32 (56-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Williams * | 35 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 21 | - |
| J. Redick * | 35 | 9-18 | 8-11 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 18 | - |
| D. Ewing * | 32 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| L. Melchionni * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Nelson | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| S. Randolph | 14 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. McClure | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| P. Davidson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Johnson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Pagliuca | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Perkins | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Battle * | 30 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| C. Webb * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| A. Wilson * | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Galloway * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Waleskowski * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| I. Swann | 21 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| A. Thornton | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Romero | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Richardson | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Rich | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| R. Mims | 8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| I. Zanoguera | 6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter