Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | +1.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -8 (73-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Boylan | 36 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J. Heard | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 31 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| R. Locke | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Shewmake | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| D. White | 21 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 9 | - |
| K. Cook | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Smith | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Washington | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Altheimer | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| G. Okwudibonye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Enzweiler | 34 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Haskins | 32 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| D. Whiten | 27 | 9-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 6 | - |
| Mike Titchenal | 23 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| P. Johnson | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| F. Sampson | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Finnegan | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Henry | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| G. Jones | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. McGinn | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter