Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.4% | 76.6% | +6.5 | ✓ (29.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +36 (95-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Young | 39 | 5-19 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 | - |
| T. Douglas | 32 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| N. Watson | 29 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Q. Brown | 28 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Hayles | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| F. Tolbert | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| M. Edun | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Gaines | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Daniel | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. O'Connor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Payne | 30 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 25 | - |
| E. Ferguson | 25 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Modica | 23 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| D. Townes | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Michael Jones | 22 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| O. Famutimi | 21 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| C. Thomas | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Jefferson | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Hill | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Monk | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Sullivan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter