Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | +1.7 | ✓ (25.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +27 (97-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. McDonnell | 32 | 5-14 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Wesley Duke | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| D. Coleman | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Will Emerson | 23 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| K. Dinkins | 23 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 2 | - |
| R. Alacqua | 20 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| S. Dolan | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Andrew Walker | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Aaron | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Cruz | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Pfohl | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tyler McCurry | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Dixon | 29 | 8-14 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 24 | - |
| M. Piper | 28 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| E. Baker | 26 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 5-6 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 22 | - |
| R. Heck | 25 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| J. Huffman | 24 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| R. Antoine | 16 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| S. James | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R. Damus | 10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Z. Mathis | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Woodstock | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Holmes | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Brandon | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P. Phillips | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter