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2005-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears Troy Trojans Spread Result
Elo 22.8% 77.2% -
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% -
Margin 41.0% 59.0% +2.0 (25.0 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Troy Trojans +27 (97-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. McDonnell 32 5-14 4-12 2-2 7 1 2 0 3 16 9 -
W. Duke 26 4-6 0-0 2-3 7 0 3 1 1 10 14 -
D. Coleman 24 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 6 0 0 3 4 8 -
W. Emerson 23 3-10 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 6 0 -
K. Dinkins 23 5-10 2-6 1-2 0 2 2 0 5 13 2 -
R. Alacqua 20 2-9 1-8 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 5 -1 -
S. Dolan 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
A. Walker 12 2-3 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
S. Aaron 10 1-3 1-2 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
K. Cruz 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Pfohl 6 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 6 8 -
T. McCurry 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Dixon 29 8-14 7-10 2-2 5 4 4 0 0 25 24 -
M. Piper 28 7-12 2-4 0-0 4 4 2 1 4 16 11 -
E. Baker 26 5-9 3-3 5-6 9 6 1 1 4 18 22 -
R. Heck 25 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 0 8 -
J. Huffman 24 3-6 3-6 0-2 0 1 0 0 0 9 4 -
R. Antoine 16 3-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
S. James 13 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
R. Damus 10 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 5 1 -
Z. Mathis 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
L. Woodstock 8 1-2 0-0 3-6 1 1 0 1 1 5 5 -
A. Holmes 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Brandon 5 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
P. Phillips 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter