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2005-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 88.5% 11.5% -
Bradley-Terry 99.0% 1.0% -
Margin 100.0% 0.0% -63.0 (66.0 off)
Pythagorean 63.5% 36.5% -
Efficiency 85.9% 14.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.7% 13.3% -
Log Adjusted 86.8% 13.2% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons +3 (73-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Raivio 40 5-14 2-8 6-6 1 3 3 0 2 18 9 -
R. Turiaf 37 6-12 0-1 6-10 10 1 0 0 1 18 16 -
A. Morrison 36 4-13 1-5 0-0 6 3 2 0 1 9 6 -
J.P. Batista 33 6-11 0-1 3-4 9 1 0 2 2 15 14 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes 21 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 0 2 -
D. Pendergraft 18 2-4 2-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 6 5 -
S. Mallon 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 0 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Riley 34 2-6 1-4 2-2 12 3 2 0 5 7 13 -
J. Gumbs 34 7-14 2-6 2-4 13 0 0 0 0 18 17 -
J. Cox 33 4-17 3-11 2-5 7 5 0 0 4 13 4 -
J. Gaines 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 2 0 2 0 6 -
N. Pierce 21 4-6 0-0 1-2 3 0 2 1 3 9 6 -
J. Dukes 18 4-6 1-2 3-3 3 1 0 1 0 12 11 -
D. Ingerson 13 3-8 3-4 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 10 5 -
A. Wiggins Jr. 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Andre Hazel 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
K. Barnes 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter