Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.6% | 53.4% | +0.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +7 (60-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.