Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.1% | 25.9% | -5.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles -5 (51-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Robert Merritt | 39 | 4-12 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | - |
| J. Smith | 38 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 10 | - |
| B. Boerjan | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Mills | 28 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Merritt | 27 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| C. West | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Josh Hare | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Peterson | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Woolsey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kelly | 40 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Reed | 35 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Q. Smith | 34 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| O. Towers-Solis | 33 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. McKnight | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | - |
| K. Hankins | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Walters | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. True | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter