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2005-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs Morehead State Eagles Spread Result
Elo 54.3% 45.7% -
Bradley-Terry 41.5% 58.5% -
Margin 34.3% 65.7% +3.6 (3.4 off)

Actual: Morehead State Eagles +7 (60-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Robert Merritt 39 4-12 3-11 1-2 2 4 0 0 4 12 2 -
J. Smith 38 5-7 5-6 0-0 5 2 0 0 5 15 10 -
B. Boerjan 28 2-4 0-1 2-3 4 1 2 0 0 6 9 -
J. Mills 28 2-5 2-5 2-2 4 2 1 1 1 8 10 -
J. Merritt 27 2-8 2-7 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 6 0 -
C. West 15 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 4 4 -
Josh Hare 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
T. Peterson 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
R. Woolsey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Kelly 40 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 2 4 6 -
J. Reed 35 7-12 1-3 0-2 3 5 0 0 2 15 9 -
Q. Smith 34 1-6 1-5 0-0 4 3 0 0 3 3 1 -
O. Towers-Solis 33 3-5 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 6 7 -
C. McKnight 33 5-8 0-0 5-6 4 2 0 0 5 15 8 -
K. Hankins 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
R. Walters 10 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
J. True 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter