Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Chicago State Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.8% | 51.2% | -1.7 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | +0.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago State Cougars -10 (67-77). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Oppland | 39 | 12-17 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Seth Colclasure | 38 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Ron Howard | 31 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Jarryd Loyd | 29 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Moussa Mbaye | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kenny Harris | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Shawn Huff | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Franklin | 36 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| T. Weeden | 35 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Deji Akindele | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Kevin Jones Jr | 31 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Royce Parran | 30 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Nate Carter | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Marin Mulic | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| David Inabnit | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Suresh May | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter