Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Pierce * | 45 | 9-20 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 4 | - |
| J. Horner * | 42 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 7 | - |
| G. Brunner * | 39 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| A. Haluska * | 27 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| E. Hansen * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Thomas | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Henderson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Reed | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Thompson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Head * | 42 | 8-18 | 4-13 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16 | - |
| D. Williams * | 39 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 37 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16 | - |
| R. Powell * | 34 | 2-15 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| D. Brown * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| R. McBride | 21 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Ingram | 12 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Nick Smith | 7 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| W. Carter | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter