Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern State Lady Demons | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | +8.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +5 (81-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.