Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | +4.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.5% | 82.5% | +8.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles +5 (102-97). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Johnson | 38 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Jason Thompson | 34 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Robert Taylor | 28 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Paul Johnson | 23 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| E. Muniz | 23 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| T. Mouton | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. Naughton | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Warner | 8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Pereira | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cruz | 40 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| J. Mendez | 40 | 13-21 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 24 | - |
| D. Brooks | 37 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| L. Miles | 32 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J.R Duffey | 21 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Mathis | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Charron Fisher | 9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Durosier | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter