Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.5% | 85.5% | +9.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +4 (83-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Golob | 35 | 7-15 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - |
| K. Feuerbach | 34 | 6-16 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 12 | - |
| R. Boykin Jr. | 31 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| S. Sir | 28 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Landry | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| C. Hill | 16 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -7 | - |
| S. Garnett | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| R. Van Patten | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Strait | 35 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| K. Criswell | 34 | 7-16 | 2-8 | 4-7 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| J. Seyfert | 31 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| M. Martin | 30 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 5 | - |
| M. Dlouhy | 30 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| L. Farr | 18 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Easley | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Lynch | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter