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2005-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Stanford Cardinal UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 45.9% 54.1% -
Bradley-Terry 36.1% 63.9% -
Margin 28.1% 71.9% +5.2 (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% -
Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% -
Log Adjusted 37.5% 62.5% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins -11 (64-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Robinson * 39 4-11 2-4 3-4 2 3 0 2 3 13 6 -
M. Haryasz * 38 5-11 0-0 4-6 9 1 1 0 4 14 10 -
D. Grunfeld * 37 8-13 2-2 7-7 7 1 2 0 1 25 21 -
R. Little * 27 6-13 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 4 12 1 -
C. Hernandez * 21 1-5 1-3 1-2 2 5 1 0 1 4 6 -
J. Haas 24 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 6 1 0 3 2 6 -
F. Washington 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
P. Prowitt 7 2-3 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 5 4 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Afflalo * 35 4-8 1-3 0-1 2 1 1 0 2 9 3 -
D. Thompson * 32 3-11 0-2 0-0 6 2 1 0 6 6 -2 -
M. Fey * 31 6-12 0-0 5-6 11 0 0 1 2 17 15 -
J. Farmar * 31 3-8 0-1 2-4 6 4 3 0 4 8 9 -
J. Shipp * 29 3-8 0-3 6-6 4 0 1 0 1 12 8 -
Brian Morrison 24 5-10 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 12 4 -
L. Mata-Real 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Hollins 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 -
M. McKinney 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter