Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Miami Hurricanes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.1% | 26.9% | -5.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Hurricanes -9 (83-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ewing * | 40 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| J. Redick * | 38 | 6-16 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| S. Williams * | 37 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 25 | - |
| L. Melchionni * | 29 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 28 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| D. Nelson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Randolph | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. McClure | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Hurricanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Diaz * | 38 | 11-23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | - |
| R. Hite * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. King * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| W. Frisby * | 31 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| A. Harris * | 26 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| G. Hamilton | 15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| B. Okpalobi | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| E. Wilkins | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter