Model Predictions
| Model | Albany Great Danes | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.5% | 26.5% | -5.6 | ✗ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Albany Great Danes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilson | 39 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 13 | - |
| L. Jordan | 36 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Zoellner | 30 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| B. Wilson | 26 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Levine | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| B. Lillis | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| A. St. Hillaire | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Wyatt | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bilal | 30 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| C. Gaskin | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| R. Gogerty | 24 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Pugh | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Feeley | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Hodges | 20 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| M. Housman | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Zito | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Knight | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Davis | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter