Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.1% | 61.9% | +2.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -4 (69-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Gordon | 36 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Vince Greene | 35 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 9-9 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 24 | - |
| G. Alexander | 35 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| T. Guidry | 33 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| N. Plank | 26 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Ford | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Daanish | 39 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 7 | - |
| D. Moss | 39 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| T. Schnitker | 38 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Adler | 28 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| E. Gray | 24 | 9-15 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 9 | - |
| G. Moore | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Ray | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Yelovich | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter