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2005-01-19

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 15.8% 84.2% -
Bradley-Terry 64.2% 35.8% -
Margin 69.7% 30.3% -4.6 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 74.1% 25.9% -
Efficiency 96.2% 3.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.2% 5.8% -
Log Adjusted 94.2% 5.8% -

Actual: Clemson Tigers -19 (58-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. McCants * 33 9-18 3-7 2-4 0 6 2 2 3 23 12 -
A. Roche * 33 5-12 1-5 0-0 10 4 3 0 5 11 11 -
E. Arriaran * 31 4-9 2-2 0-0 9 1 2 0 2 10 11 -
J. Manuel * 26 3-3 0-0 1-2 2 2 2 0 1 7 9 -
S. May * 24 3-6 0-0 5-9 8 0 0 0 5 11 8 -
M. Williams 23 3-5 0-1 6-6 8 0 0 0 2 12 13 -
D. Noel 16 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 2 1 0 1 3 5 -
M. Scott 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
W. Miller 4 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Q. Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Terry 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C.J. Hooker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Sanders 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Ford * 33 6-12 0-0 2-4 9 1 0 3 2 14 13 -
C. Hammonds * 31 2-6 0-3 3-5 2 1 0 0 3 7 1 -
S. Robinson * 30 1-11 0-6 1-2 2 3 1 0 4 3 -6 -
O. Babalola * 25 0-7 0-2 4-4 5 1 3 1 2 4 5 -
C. Moore * 22 5-10 4-7 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 14 7 -
V. Hamilton 19 1-5 0-0 2-4 1 3 3 0 3 4 3 -
J. Mays 13 2-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 2 1 1 5 9 -
S. Perry 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
A. Akingbala 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 2 0 2 -
J. Hudson 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
S. Waiters 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Morris 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter