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Arkansas Razorbacks 63
@
LSU Tigers 66
2005-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 54.9% 45.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 47.3% 52.7% - ✓
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 ✓ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% - ✓
Efficiency 34.5% 65.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 14.4% 85.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 14.5% 85.5% - ✓

Actual: LSU Tigers +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Payne 37 5-12 1-2 6-10 7 4 3 0 1 17 18 -
E. Ferguson 33 1-9 1-4 2-3 4 6 3 0 2 5 7 -
D. Townes 33 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 4 5 -
Michael Jones 29 6-10 3-7 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 15 7 -
R. Sullivan 23 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 2 1 2 0 2 -
O. Famutimi 21 5-8 3-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 13 4 -
D. Jefferson 19 2-2 0-0 2-2 0 2 1 0 3 6 4 -
S. Hill 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Thomas 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Modica 8 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hudson 42 3-11 2-6 1-2 2 3 1 0 1 9 3 -
G. Davis 42 8-12 0-1 10-11 18 1 2 2 2 26 35 -
B. Bass 41 6-13 1-2 2-2 8 0 1 3 2 15 12 -
D. Mitchell 33 3-9 1-5 0-0 2 1 3 0 2 7 2 -
B. Balla 32 1-11 0-4 2-3 2 6 0 0 3 4 -2 -
X. Whipple 16 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 5 3 -
D. Lazare 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
R. Neltner 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter