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2005-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 79.3% 20.7% -
Bradley-Terry 41.3% 58.7% -
Margin 34.2% 65.8% +3.6 (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.2% 62.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.6% 94.4% -
Log Adjusted 5.5% 94.5% -

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +8 (67-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Sommerville 38 6-10 3-4 1-1 9 6 0 0 1 16 20 -
D. Ruffin 35 3-9 2-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 5 10 1 -
P. O'Bryant 32 3-5 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 3 3 7 9 -
T. Bennett 30 4-10 0-1 0-1 2 2 2 0 4 8 0 -
J. Crouch 26 5-9 3-6 0-2 1 2 0 0 4 13 3 -
J.J. Tauai 24 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 3 1 -
L. Wright 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -5 -
M. Rembert 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darren Brooks 33 3-14 0-1 4-4 7 7 1 0 1 10 10 -
Josh Warren 29 6-12 0-0 6-6 13 1 1 1 2 18 20 -
S. Hairston 28 0-5 0-3 4-4 2 3 1 0 4 4 1 -
J. Tatum 27 1-10 1-6 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 5 -2 -
T. Young 24 6-8 2-4 1-1 1 0 4 2 1 15 13 -
L. Owen 23 5-9 0-0 0-0 6 1 4 0 1 10 11 -
M. Shaw 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
M. Dale 10 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -2 -
R. Falker 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 2 2 2 5 -

* = starter