Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | +5.0 | ✓ (44.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | +7.1 | ✓ (41.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +49 (98-49). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawrence Roberts * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 7-12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Shane Power * | 34 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gary Ervin * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Jamall Edmondson * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Campbell * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Ontario Harper | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Walter Sharpe | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dietric Slater | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Piotr Stelmach | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wesley Morgan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Boler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnest Shelton * | 37 | 13-22 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 16 | - |
| J. Roberson * | 34 | 8-16 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Ronald Steele * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - |
| Chuck Davis * | 27 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Jermareo Davidson * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| E. Brock | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Albert Weber | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jean Felix | 9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Justin Jonus | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Shawn Taylor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lucky Williams | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jason Reese | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter