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2005-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 49.4% 50.6% -
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 27.8% 72.2% +5.3 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 17.8% 82.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +7 (71-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Teague * 37 3-7 1-3 6-10 3 2 1 0 3 13 9 -
B. McKnight * 36 2-8 2-4 1-2 2 2 1 0 2 7 2 -
S. Heber * 34 4-10 0-1 1-3 4 3 0 0 2 9 4 -
C. Landry * 31 11-12 1-2 8-12 9 1 1 1 1 31 30 -
B. Dillon * 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 3 -
Andrew Ford 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Davis 13 1-3 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 1 2 2 2 -
C. Hartley 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Ware 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Brown * 30 6-11 0-1 8-9 9 1 0 0 2 20 17 -
M. Ager * 25 7-11 3-5 5-6 2 1 1 0 2 22 13 -
P. Davis * 24 4-7 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 0 2 9 4 -
A. Anderson * 24 2-5 0-1 2-2 8 2 0 0 0 6 11 -
C. Hill * 22 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 6 0 0 1 3 4 -
D. Neitzel 20 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 4 2 0 2 3 5 -
K. Torbert 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 -
M. Trannon 14 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 2 0 1 5 4 -
D. Rowley 13 1-1 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
Tim Bograkos 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Naymick 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter