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2005-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% -
Bradley-Terry 25.9% 74.1% -
Margin 13.1% 86.9% +10.4 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 20.1% 79.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +14 (80-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Singletary * 34 7-12 0-2 5-5 1 2 1 0 4 19 7 -
G. Forbes * 31 7-18 1-1 2-3 10 0 2 0 2 17 9 -
E. Brown * 26 6-12 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 0 1 13 7 -
J. Clark * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
J.R. Reynolds 36 1-8 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -5 -
M. McLean 25 1-8 0-1 6-6 8 0 0 0 0 8 8 -
T. Bannister 16 0-3 0-0 4-4 1 3 0 0 1 4 4 -
A. Joseph 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 -
D. Minter 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 2 0 2 2 5 -
J. Cain 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Soroye 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Redick * 39 8-13 6-10 6-6 3 0 2 0 5 28 15 -
S. Williams * 39 7-11 0-0 2-3 11 2 1 9 2 16 26 -
D. Ewing * 38 7-12 1-3 2-2 6 3 0 0 3 17 11 -
S. Dockery * 29 2-7 0-2 2-3 6 2 3 1 0 6 11 -
L. Melchionni * 20 1-5 1-4 2-6 1 2 3 0 0 5 6 -
D. Nelson 28 2-5 0-0 2-5 7 3 0 2 2 6 11 -
S. Randolph 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 2 3 -
D. McClure 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
P. Johnson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter