Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +14 (80-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Singletary * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 7 | - |
| G. Forbes * | 31 | 7-18 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| E. Brown * | 26 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Clark * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds | 36 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | - |
| M. McLean | 25 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Bannister | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Joseph | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Minter | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Cain | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Soroye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redick * | 39 | 8-13 | 6-10 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 15 | - |
| S. Williams * | 39 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 26 | - |
| D. Ewing * | 38 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| L. Melchionni * | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Nelson | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| S. Randolph | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. McClure | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter