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2005-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies Cal State Northridge Matadors Spread Result
Elo 95.0% 5.0% -
Bradley-Terry 73.3% 26.7% -
Margin 76.3% 23.7% -6.4 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 58.9% 41.1% -
Efficiency 95.6% 4.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.5% 9.5% -
Log Adjusted 90.7% 9.3% -

Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Carroll 34 7-12 3-6 2-3 2 2 1 0 2 19 10 -
S. Nelson 32 2-3 0-1 4-4 3 8 3 1 5 8 15 -
N. Harris 28 8-9 0-0 2-2 5 4 2 4 1 18 23 -
A. Holmes 22 1-6 1-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 3 -4 -
J. Williams 21 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
C. McGowen 21 4-6 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 0 0 10 7 -
D. Pak 19 1-3 1-1 0-1 3 2 0 0 3 3 2 -
J. Neil 19 1-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
Calvin Brown 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Boylan 37 2-12 1-4 6-8 6 7 2 0 2 11 12 -
J. Heard 32 3-6 0-0 8-10 3 2 0 0 4 14 9 -
D. White 30 3-8 3-7 6-7 3 4 2 0 2 15 14 -
C. Chitwood 27 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 4 1 0 4 8 -
D. Smith 22 0-2 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 1 1 3 5 -
B. Altheimer 19 3-5 2-4 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
T. Shewmake 17 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 1 3 5 7 -
A. Washington 8 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
K. Cook 5 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 3 3 -
G. Okwudibonye 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter