Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.3% | 23.7% | -6.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carroll | 34 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| S. Nelson | 32 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | - |
| N. Harris | 28 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 23 | - |
| A. Holmes | 22 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | - |
| J. Williams | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. McGowen | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Pak | 19 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Neil | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Calvin Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Boylan | 37 | 2-12 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Heard | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| D. White | 30 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 27 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Smith | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| B. Altheimer | 19 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Shewmake | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Washington | 8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Cook | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| G. Okwudibonye | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter