Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | +1.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +18 (84-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Clark | 33 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| C. Karl | 32 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 9-11 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| K. Johnson | 29 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| E. Lane | 27 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| T. Banks | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| S. Robinson | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Lloyd | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Thompson | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Green | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Taylor | 27 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| R. Sessions | 27 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 | - |
| K. Shiloh | 25 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| N. Fazekas | 22 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| K. Pinkney | 21 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| M. Charlo | 20 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Washington | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Ellis | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Bell | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| C. Lynch | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter