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2005-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 39.0% 61.0% -
Bradley-Terry 47.4% 52.6% -
Margin 43.4% 56.6% +1.5 (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 32.4% 67.6% -
Efficiency 30.0% 70.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.3% 93.7% -
Log Adjusted 6.3% 93.7% -

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +18 (84-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Clark 33 4-12 1-5 1-2 2 4 1 0 3 10 2 -
C. Karl 32 5-8 2-4 9-11 4 4 0 0 1 21 20 -
K. Johnson 29 3-11 1-7 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 7 -1 -
E. Lane 27 4-7 0-3 1-2 0 1 2 1 3 9 3 -
T. Banks 27 3-8 0-0 1-2 12 1 0 1 2 7 11 -
S. Robinson 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
K. Lloyd 17 1-2 0-0 3-3 2 0 1 0 3 5 3 -
M. Thompson 9 1-3 1-3 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
A. Green 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 2 -

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Taylor 27 4-5 1-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 9 8 -
R. Sessions 27 4-6 0-1 3-3 5 10 2 0 1 11 21 -
K. Shiloh 25 1-6 1-3 4-6 1 4 3 0 2 7 7 -
N. Fazekas 22 5-15 1-5 6-6 10 0 1 0 3 17 10 -
K. Pinkney 21 7-12 0-1 2-2 5 1 4 0 1 16 13 -
M. Charlo 20 2-4 2-3 0-1 1 0 1 0 0 6 4 -
J. Washington 17 4-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 3 8 6 -
D. Ellis 16 0-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 1 2 1 2 -
C. Bell 16 2-5 0-0 5-6 8 0 0 0 2 9 10 -
C. Lynch 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter