Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -8 (73-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. LeSure | 39 | 12-18 | 1-3 | 12-12 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 21 | - |
| M. Slaughter | 36 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| J. Sharper | 34 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| C. Walton | 34 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| C. Manker | 23 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| M. Camara | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| T. Smith | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Thomas | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Hudson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Vaught | 33 | 6-14 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | - |
| O. Blankson | 32 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J. Blassingame | 31 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Umeh | 29 | 7-15 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| L. Amundson | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| A. Hannan | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Anthony | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Villepigue | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. Morgan | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Terry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter