Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | UL Monroe Warhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.6% | 49.4% | -0.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UL Monroe Warhawks -5 (78-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.