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Texas State Bobcats 83
@
UL Monroe Warhawks 78
2005-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Texas State Bobcats UL Monroe Warhawks Spread Result
Elo 94.5% 5.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 57.2% 42.8% - ✓
Margin 55.2% 44.8% -1.1 ✓ (3.9 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✗

Actual: UL Monroe Warhawks -5 (78-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Dill 31 6-12 0-0 4-4 10 3 1 0 4 16 14 -
J. Naylor 30 4-8 2-6 4-4 5 1 0 0 1 14 11 -
B. Brickens 28 4-6 1-1 8-12 3 2 1 0 1 17 16 -
M. Turner 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 2 6 -
C. Stoermer 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -
A. Oupoh 18 2-5 1-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 7 3 -
R. Adams 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 2 7 -
L. Burroughs 16 2-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
M. Canady 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Langhorne 9 1-2 1-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

UL Monroe Warhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Branch 28 2-4 1-3 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 6 6 -
D. Mason 28 3-7 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 2 1 7 6 -
N. Smith 25 4-6 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 2 3 10 8 -
R. Jacobs 24 3-6 0-2 1-3 2 3 0 0 1 7 5 -
C. Hood 24 6-9 0-1 3-4 0 3 3 0 0 15 12 -
A. Harper 17 2-8 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 0 -
G. Robinson 15 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -
T. Helton 14 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
J. Turpin 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 0 3 -
D. Bynum 12 4-7 0-0 1-1 0 1 0 0 0 9 3 -

* = starter