Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +13 (74-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brooks | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Korver | 25 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| C. Bryant | 24 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| L. Randolph | 23 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| P. Eggers | 20 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| S. Tracy | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Works | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Powell | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Grant | 9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Bancroft | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Houston | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Emmenecker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Diezi | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Egli | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Alexander | 34 | 5-11 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Vince Greene | 33 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Lorenzo Gordon | 32 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 23 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| N. Plank | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| T. Guidry | 22 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -3 | - |
| D. Ford | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter