Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Duquesne Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.7% | 36.3% | -3.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duquesne Dukes -11 (60-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Scott | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| B. Roberts | 24 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Alvarez | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| M. Jones | 23 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Meacham | 22 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| N. Plummer | 21 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| W. Williams | 19 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Bennett | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| N. Stafford | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Binnie | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Cripe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Achara | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| T. Bluemling | 28 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. Osimani | 28 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| B. McAllister | 26 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Gayden | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Higgins | 20 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| R. Tricco | 18 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Hudson | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Morris | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter