Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +6 (78-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.