Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 79.3% | 20.7% | -7.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +2 (64-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Walters | 38 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 5 | - |
| D. Chiotti | 36 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| T. DeVries | 34 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Collins | 29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Neale | 29 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| T. Danridge | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Prentice | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Phaler | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Hart | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Harden | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Osby | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hood | 38 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. Keller | 36 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| N. Welch | 35 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 30 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. McCraw | 30 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. Anderson | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. Holum | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Buchanan | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter