Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | +3.0 | ✓ (22.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +25 (80-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Payne | 32 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| E. Ferguson | 32 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| J. Modica | 29 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 4-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Michael Jones | 20 | 3-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| O. Famutimi | 17 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Hill | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| C. Thomas | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| D. Townes | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Sullivan | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Jefferson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Monk | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Power | 34 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| G. Ervin | 32 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | - |
| L. Roberts | 30 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 6-10 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| J. Edmondson | 29 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Campbell | 19 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| O. Harper | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| D. Slater | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| W. Sharpe | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Boler | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Morgan | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. McTiller | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Begley | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter