Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.6% | 38.4% | -2.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -4 (62-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Horton * | 38 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Coleman * | 29 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| J.C. Mathis * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Sims * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| G. Brown | 37 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| D. Harris | 36 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J. Andrews | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson * | 39 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 16 | - |
| G. Claxton * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| B. Luber * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Parker * | 33 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| D. Morrissey * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Walker | 27 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Hassell | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. McDougald | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter