Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.6% | 24.4% | -6.2 | ✗ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +13 (95-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Roche * | 36 | 5-18 | 1-7 | 5-7 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| E. Arriaran * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| S. May * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| R. McCants * | 20 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| J. Manuel * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Noel | 25 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Williams | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| M. Scott | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Terry | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bethel * | 34 | 8-18 | 1-2 | 9-9 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 26 | - |
| J. Levy * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| J. Gray * | 25 | 3-12 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | - |
| E. Williams * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| V. Danelius * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| T. Downey | 26 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| C. Ellis | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| T. Strickland | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Visser | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter