Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | +6.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies -2 (60-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jefferson | 36 | 7-12 | 4-5 | 7-7 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 23 | - |
| M. Moss | 35 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| B. Miller | 34 | 4-15 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| L. Ball | 34 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A. Beye | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Durham | 12 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Towsley | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Woodall | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Durr | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Pratt | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Criswell | 36 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A. Strait | 35 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Martin | 32 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Seyfert | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| M. Dlouhy | 30 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| C. McKay | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Farr | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| V. Matthews | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Lynch | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Easley | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter