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2005-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 51.5% 48.5% -
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% -
Margin 22.3% 77.7% +6.9 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% -
Efficiency 5.8% 94.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.3% 87.7% -
Log Adjusted 12.2% 87.8% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies -2 (60-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jefferson 36 7-12 4-5 7-7 4 1 5 1 1 25 23 -
M. Moss 35 6-14 1-2 0-0 8 3 1 0 1 13 10 -
B. Miller 34 4-15 3-11 0-0 2 6 0 0 1 11 3 -
L. Ball 34 3-6 2-5 0-0 4 2 3 0 1 8 10 -
A. Beye 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 2 3 -
C. Durham 12 0-4 0-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -4 -
M. Towsley 11 1-2 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 1 1 3 2 -
D. Woodall 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
C. Durr 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Pratt 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Criswell 36 2-9 1-4 4-4 3 3 0 0 2 9 4 -
A. Strait 35 4-8 0-1 0-3 6 1 0 0 2 8 5 -
M. Martin 32 5-11 3-7 0-0 3 5 0 0 2 13 8 -
J. Seyfert 31 5-10 0-0 4-8 9 0 0 2 2 14 13 -
M. Dlouhy 30 5-9 2-4 0-1 7 3 2 1 0 12 16 -
C. McKay 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
L. Farr 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
V. Matthews 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
B. Lynch 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
C. Easley 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 -

* = starter