Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Northeastern Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | +15.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northeastern Huskies +11 (77-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Gogerty | 37 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| C. Pugh | 33 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Zito | 30 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 15 | - |
| A. Feeley | 29 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 10 | - |
| R. Bilal | 24 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| B. Hodges | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| S. Davis | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Knight | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Gaskin | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Northeastern Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Davis | 38 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Marcus Barnes | 37 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| J. Cole | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 34 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 7 | - |
| A. Davis | 23 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| B. Kelly | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Martinez | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Washington | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter