Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -12 (66-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| L. Head * | 32 | 9-14 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 19 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| R. Powell * | 29 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| D. Williams * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| R. McBride | 23 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Smith | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Ingram | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| W. Carter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Vukusic * | 40 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| D. Duvancic * | 36 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| T.J. Parker * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| M. Thompson * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Hachad * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Doyle | 22 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Jenkins | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter