Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.3% | 15.7% | -9.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks -16 (61-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Pearson | 39 | 8-16 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| S. Witherspoon | 32 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| C. Johnson | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Orr | 27 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| K. Jenifer | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Hopkins | 15 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2 | - |
| P. Griffith | 10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| I. Redding | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Dansby | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T.J. Wolf | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 39 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 10 | - |
| B.J. Spencer | 35 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| A. Wilson | 33 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Brown | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| C. Lumpkin | 20 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| B. Davis | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. Lewis | 17 | 6-12 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| M. Miller | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter