Model Predictions
| Model | Nicholls Colonels | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +5 (58-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.