Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.8% | 92.2% | +13.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +20 (76-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Enzweiler | 35 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| F. Sampson | 31 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Mike Titchenal | 23 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| T. McGinn | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Whiten | 17 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6 | - |
| P. Johnson | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| L. Finnegan | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Haskins | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| G. Jones | 11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Henry | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| V. Lisinac | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R.J. Socci | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Harris | 32 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| J. Davis | 32 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D. Rasp | 30 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| C. Oliver | 27 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. See | 24 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Goettsche | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| G. Turner | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| M. Chambers | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter