Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +12 (71-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hopkins | 33 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 5 | - |
| T. Pearson | 29 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Ward | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Johnson | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Jenifer | 23 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Orr | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Redding | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Jackson | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Dansby | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T.J. Wolf | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Robert Merritt | 38 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| J. Smith | 38 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| B. Boerjan | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Merritt | 27 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. West | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Mills | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Hare | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Nurkic | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Peterson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter