Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +12 (71-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.