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2005-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% -
Bradley-Terry 42.4% 57.6% -
Margin 38.6% 61.4% +2.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% -
Efficiency 87.3% 12.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.2% 53.8% -
Log Adjusted 46.1% 53.9% -

Actual: Portland Pilots +10 (81-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Acker 35 4-10 2-3 13-13 5 1 0 0 2 23 17 -
G. McGowan 33 8-14 3-5 5-8 4 1 1 0 3 24 13 -
Y. Diawara 31 3-7 0-1 0-1 4 0 0 0 3 6 0 -
M. Lea 24 2-4 0-0 2-4 2 1 3 0 5 6 3 -
R. Hicks 21 1-2 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 2 0 4 12 -
K. Costain 19 1-7 0-3 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 3 -3 -
C. Griffin 15 1-3 0-1 0-1 0 2 1 0 1 2 1 -
J. Henry 11 1-3 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
C. Roush 11 0-0 0-0 1-3 4 2 2 1 1 1 9 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jeter 38 4-12 1-5 6-8 5 3 6 0 1 15 16 -
B. Sullivan 26 4-5 0-0 5-6 8 4 2 0 3 13 19 -
M. Lewis 26 6-10 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 3 12 2 -
D. Wilson 26 7-9 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 1 2 14 12 -
J. Dominguez 25 1-4 0-1 2-4 3 4 0 0 3 4 4 -
D. Cooper 21 4-5 2-3 2-3 1 2 1 0 1 12 10 -
D. Vance 15 2-2 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 1 1 4 7 -
A. Gahlmann 13 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
K. Aaker 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Watson 5 1-2 0-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter